RESUMO
INTRODUCTION: The elderly population is unique and the prognostic scoring systems developed for the adult population need to be validated. We evaluated the predictive value of frequently used scoring systems on mortality in critically ill elderly sepsis patients. METHODOLOGY: In this single-center, observational, prospective study, critically ill elderly sepsis patients were evaluated. Sequential organ failure evaluation score (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation score-II (APACHE-II), logistic organ dysfunction score (LODS), multiple organ dysfunction score (MODS), and simplified acute physiology score-II (SAPS-II) were calculated. The participants were followed up for 28 days for in-hospital mortality. Prognostic scoring systems, demographic characteristics, comorbid conditions, and baseline laboratory findings were compared between "survivor" and "non-survivor" groups. RESULTS: 202 patients with a mean age of 79 (interquartile range, IQR: 11) years were included, and 51% (n = 103) were female. The overall mortality was 41% (n = 83). SOFA, APACHE-II, LODS, MODS, and SAPS-II scores were significantly higher in the non-survivor group (p < 0.001), and higher scores were correlated with higher mortality. The receiver operator characteristics (ROC) - area under curve (AUC) values were 0.802, 0.784, 0.735, 0.702 and 0.780 for SOFA, APACHE-II, LODS, MODS, and SAPS-II, respectively. All prognostic scoring models had a significant discriminative ability on the prediction of mortality among critically ill elderly sepsis patients (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that SOFA, APACHE-II, LODS, MODS, and SAPS-II scores are significantly associated with 28-day mortality in critically ill elderly sepsis patients, and can be successfully used for predicting mortality.
